The Premiere Box Office Prediction Game Site.
A new box office gaming site from Movie Mavericks. Predict opening weekend numbers to become the Box Office Ace!
Every week we’ll be placing our predictions for opening box office weekends for the biggest films in release this year, 2012, here on this page. Follow along with us and leave a comment with your expectations and predictions for the weekend. We get the bar value from the Hollywood Stock Exchange derivatives. All numbers are in millions and rounded to the nearest hundred thousand. We are carrying a running total of how far off we are by weekend, the person with the smallest number wins. We are doing three day weekends only, no four or five day holiday weekends allowed. There can be only one box office prediction maverick, who will it be?
You can use the pagination at the bottom to skip to a past weekend.
Weekend #52, Dec 28-30, 2012
Difference Running Totals:
Trevor: $1036.4
Jason: $985.9
Django Unchained
HSX Bar: $30
Trevor: $23
Jason: $22
Actual: $30.1
Les Miserables
HSX Bar: $30
Trevor: $28
Jason: $26
Actual: $27.3
Parental Guidance
HSX Bar: $10
Trevor: $9
Jason: $14
Actual: $14.6
Hey guys, so do you think we get to see a $100m second weekend for The Avengers? I think it’s got a legit shot at doing it.
Dark Shadows – $31m
I think $100 million is very likely. The midweek grosses are astronomical, at the very least it’s doing $80. The word-of-mouth on this is excellent and I hear it has a high repeat viewing factor. Look for $102m for the mother’s day weekend.
Jason,
I’m amazed at the midweek numbers. I think it pulls in close to $110 to this weekend.
I’m seriously wondering now that Dark Knight Rises is going to be able to beat this for top grossing movie of the summer (or year).
can we finally be done with the Tim Burton / Johnny Depp partnership on crap films?
Hey guys…can you believe it? $200m opening. I actually posted on Filmgo that I thought it had a shot (albeit a small one) at $200..and here’s it may push upwards of close to $210m…that’s insane!!
I don’t think Dark Shadows has a snowball’s chance in hell of over performing this weekend. – $31m
I agree. Avengers is doing insane business, Marvel really has a strangle hold on comic book movies at the moment, even with Dark Knight Rises and Man of Steel, DC could never hope to pull off a Justice League movie anytime soon.
Dark Shadows is in this time slot because Alice in Wonderland opened in April, they’re trying to repeat that but it looks like they should have gone for last month when they would be competing against Hunger Games instead.
alright boys…the summer season starts this weekend, and I’m going all-in…The Avengers will set records, starting opening weekend. $173 million, and I think it could go higher.
The Five-Year Engagement – $21m
Pirates! Band of Misfits – $13m
Safe – $11m
The Raven – $7m
It’s sad when of the 4 new releases opening this weekend, the only one I’d see if I had to would be Safe..but I will end up seeing Pirates! with my kids. I guess the studios wanted to be sure to get these out there before the juggernaut that is The Avengers kicks off the “summer movie season”.
Is it me, or does it seem like we get a Nicholas Sparks movie every 3 months now..WTH!?
The Lucky One – $21m
Think Like a Man – $19m
Chimpanzee – $6m
BTW guys, I had the opportunity to see The Avengers. It kicked major a$$!!!!
Joe do you think Avengers will be the highest grossing of the summer superhero films? Do you place it as the best Marvel/Disney production?
Jason, I honestly though that Dark Knight Rises was going to take the summer. It’s got all the hype, history, following and Christopher Nolan going for it. After seeing The Avengers and being blown away by it, and believe me when I tell you I went in with high expectations, I think there’s a very good possibility it’s the highest grossing film of the year; not just the summer.
As for it being the best Marvel/Disney production, I don’t even think it’s close. I liked Iron Man (Iron Man 2 took a step back for me). I thought The Incredible Hulk was an improvement over Ang Lee’s movie, but let’s be realistic…how hard was that? It wasn’t the kind of movie you build a franchise on. I very much liked Thor, and Captain America, and look forward to how they move those franchises forward. It was my enjoyment of all those previous films that set the bar so high for my expectations. I seriously thought the movie was that damn good!
I’m giving it an A+, and not blinking an eye about doing it.
as a side note, and without giving away anything. There was all the initial talk that this was going to be an Iron Man movie, and then the later talk that it was going to be a Captain America movie…trust me when I tell you, that’s not the case whatsoever.
Ok, Now I’m getting stoked. The Hollywood Reporter gave it a fantastic review as well. Summer Movie season is starting with a bang.
Happy Belated Birthday Jason!
Cabin in the Woods – $26m
Lock Out – $10m
The Three Stooges – $9m
My hope is Cabin in the Woods does high twenties, but I feel like high teens is more likely. Hope you’re right about it.
I’m hopeful, but it’s not tracking that way right now….The Three Stooges is tracking for 20+…WTH!?
You guys are killing me with no podcast this week….make my days a whole lot longer in work!
Hey thanks Joe! It was a great Birthday feeling winning the weekend.
nice job this week Jason! You were finally able to pick up some ground on Trevor.
American Reunion – This is all about nostalgia and the characters we’ve grown up watching. I really enjoyed this movie quite a bit, and will be going to see it again tonight. I think this pulls in a big 25 – 40 audience, also known as fans of the original films, as well as the younger crowd that has watched the DVDs. I’m going over the bar and seeing eye to eye with Trevor – $40m
Titanic 3D – This is a tough one, because everyone and their mother (and grandmother) saw this when it was out originally. I don’t think that same audience is beating down the door to see it in 3D, and wants pay the surcharge to do it. However, with this month being the 100th anniversary of the Titanic’s sinking, I think it’s going to have a decent audience. I’m right in the middle of both of you guys – $33m
ouch!! I’m incredibly surprised by the low numbers for both American Reunion and Titanic! I sure hope that American Reunion has some legs, because it really was a fun and entertaining movie. I’d hate to see the franchise go out with a whimper, while so much of this other crap makes boatloads of money.
Ya very weak weekend.
Mirror, Mirror: $18m – I mean c’mon now, who really wants to see this garbage!? There’s not a single thing that looks good in any of the trailers, and it gets even worse when you see the trailers for Snow White and the Huntsman and how incredible that looks.
Wrath of the Titans: $46m – I’m really torn on this. Clash of the Titans was so bad, but opened to over $61m. The trailers really make Wrath look so much better than the last one, BUT you have the hold over from The Hunger Games which is going to affect how it performs this weekend. I’d go as high as $51m and as low as $41m, so I’m playing it in the middle.
Trevor, just think less than 3 weeks ago you were thinking “There’s a possibility for an opening near $90M, but surely over $70M.” and now you’re prediction $140 million!! Funny enough, I’m right there with you…I was leaning towards $145, but I really think this may pop over $150…I’m going to go with my gut, and say $152 million. I’ll be seeing it in IMAX at midnight Thursday, so here’s hoping it’s as good as it’s been built up to be.
Congrats Joe, once again you’re right on the head with the predictions!
Thanks Trevor….my cash flow is running low with all the money I’ve been spending on tickets!
I know a number of people (men and women) who have seen a screening of 21 Jump Street and none have come away disappointed. I think the word of mouth on this is going to be fairly positive and think the film is going to be a modest hit.
21 Jump Street – $36m
Nice prediction again Joe! Estimated $35m right now, should stay close to that target.